Moments of deep military crisis, siege, and humiliation serve as a window into both past historical tragedies and the ultimate wars of the end of days. As enemy troops surround the city to capture it [מצודת ציון], their actions carry a dual meaning. On one hand, the enemy armies swarm and gather together like a hive of bees [רש״י, רד״ק, אבן עזרא, ביאור שטיינזלץ]. Conversely, this gathering foreshadows their ultimate doom, representing the physical scratching and gashing of their own flesh in grief and mourning as a future punishment [מצודת דוד, מצודת ציון, אברבנאל].
The true identity of this besieging military camp [מצודת ציון] spans different historical eras. Some identify these forces as the ancient Assyrians [ביאור שטיינזלץ], or the Babylonians who destroyed the First Temple [רש״י]. Others view the invading army as the Roman Empire during the destruction of the Second Temple [מצודת דוד, אברבנאל], while some look entirely to the future, seeing this as the apocalyptic war of Gog and Magog [רד״ק]. Bridging these eras, another perspective suggests that these future invaders are actually the descendants of those ancient empires—Assyria, Babylon, and Rome—who will unite and gather once more at the end of days [מלבי״ם].
Amidst the siege, a profound act of disgrace unfolds as a leader is struck near the eye with a rod [מצודת ציון, מצודת דוד]. The primary approach among commentators is that the foreign enemies inflict this humiliating blow against the leaders, elders, and judges of the Israelites during their exile [רד״ק, מצודת דוד, אברבנאל]. Within this view, the target of this violence may be a specific figure, such as the Messiah or Zerubbabel, reflecting the enemies' deliberate plan to attack him, even if they ultimately fail to carry it out [אבן עזרא]. In sharp contrast, another perspective argues that this blow is not struck by the enemy at all. Instead, it represents the very sin of the Israelites that brought the siege upon them in the first place. According to this view, it was the Israelites themselves who mocked their own prophets and judges, striking them in contempt [רש״י, אברבנאל].
Ultimately, a grand cycle of justice emerges across history. The nations that once humiliated the leaders of the Israelites will gather again in the end of days to lay siege to Jerusalem. However, this final confrontation will end differently. The enemies will suffer a decisive defeat, tearing their flesh in mourning as they receive their exact punishment from God. In turn, the Israelites will rise up, shake off their oppressors, and completely break their enemies [מלבי״ם, אברבנאל, ביאור שטיינזלץ].