Joseph seals the fate of the chief baker, delivering a dark and fatal prediction that stands in stark contrast to the hopeful message given to the chief cupbearer. The difference between their fates stems from the very nature of their dreams; the cupbearer's vision inherently held good news, while the baker's lacked any positive signs [הדר זקנים].
Joseph delivers this grim reality using a chilling parallel. He informs the baker that Pharaoh will lift up his head, echoing the exact promise of restoration he just gave to the cupbearer. However, for the baker, Joseph adds a critical condition: his head will be lifted completely off of him. This transforms a message of reinstated dignity into a sentence of physical execution by the sword [רשב״ם, רלב״ג, טור הארוך, שד״ל, ביאור יש״ר, ביאור שטיינזלץ]. A singular perspective suggests that Joseph may have initially spoken of the king lifting the baker's head merely in the sense of bringing him to trial and judgment, only afterward revealing the actual punishment of hanging [שד״ל]. Regarding when this judgment would occur, there are differing views on the three-day timeframe. Some understand that the execution would happen at the very end of this period [מחוקקי יהודה בשם רד״ק, אבן ג'נאח והתרגומים]. Others maintain that it would take place sometime within the three days, before the full period elapsed, as the actual event unfolded on the third day rather than the fourth [אבן עזרא, מחוקקי יהודה].
Joseph extracts the precise details of the punishment directly from the symbols in the dream. Because the birds ate from the uppermost basket resting on the baker's head, Joseph understood that the physical blow would target the upper body. The baker's head would be severed and cast to the ground [בכור שור, העמק דבר]. Ultimately, the baker is condemned to three distinct punishments: beheading, the hanging of his headless body on a tree, and having his flesh consumed by birds. Hanging the body ensures that birds, rather than land animals, will scavenge the remains [בכור שור, העמק דבר].
Furthermore, because the birds in the dream were eating the king's personal food, Joseph realized the depth of the monarch's rage. Pharaoh's anger was so intense that he would find a grim satisfaction in watching the birds peck at the baker's flesh. The birds are specifically meant to consume the flesh of the hanging body, rather than the severed head lying on the earth [העמק דבר]. The pastoral imagery of the dream is entirely inverted, culminating in a bitter irony: instead of the king enjoying the baker's pastries, the birds will feast on the baker himself [ביאור שטיינזלץ].